THROMBOEMBOLIC STROKE PREDICTORS IN
PAROXYSMAL ATRIAL FIBRILLATION: COX MODELING BASED
ON STUDIED HEMOSTASIS INDICATORS
Mariya Negreva
Educational Sector of Cardiology
First Department of Internal Disease
Prof. P. Stoyanov Medical University of Varna
Varna 1407, BULGARIA
>Thromboembolic stroke in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) is associated with high disability and mortality, therefore its prediction is extremely important for clinical practice. The coagulation and fibrinolytic systems are the key factors, responsible for thrombus formation in atrial fibrillation. In this sense, it is reasonable to search for thromboembolic stroke predictors among coagulation and fibrinolytic indicators in PAF patients. This determined the aim of our study, namely to study the predictive value for thromboembolic stroke of twenty coagulation and fibrinolytic indicators in PAF patients. In this article, overall survival until stroke onset was modeled using the Kaplan-Meier curve. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the relationship between survival time and twenty coagulation and fibrinolytic parameters measured in 51 patients. Significant predictive value () was found for plasma TF levels (HR 1.022 [95% CI, (1.004-1.040)], FVIII levels (HR 1.084 [95% CI, (1.005-1.170)]) and vitronectin. (HR 0.946 [95% CI, (0.895-0.999)]). From the tested clinical parameters, only age and CHA2DS2-VASC score showed a predictive value for ischemic stroke occurrence (HR 1.237 [95% CI, (1.036-1.478]); HR 1.324 [95% CI, (1.054-1.662)] respectively).
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